収束ゾーンでのライフ: Life in the Convergence Zone

Greater Northshore Bike Connector Map 2.0.2 – 4 August 2025 – is now available on github, as is MEGAMAP 2.0.2.

Mostly small updates again this time, but there’s one big one – the Redmond Central Connector final segment connecting to the East Rail Trail at NE 124th is already open! Ribbon cutting isn’t ’til September 12th, and I imagined it’d open early but I didn’t expect it to be this early.

• ADDED: Redmond Central Connector extension up to Eastrail at NE 124th is open earlier than expected! (Both maps)
• ADDED: Warning flag: the Pier 91 section of Elliot Bay Trail will close from 2 September to 2 October for repaving and rebuilding, including getting replacing that weird steep over-rail bridge. There WILL be a posted detour, but it’s kinda long and involves Magnolia Bridge, so I’m flagging it. (MEGAMAP only)
• ADDED: A block-long half-dirt connector between Ashworth and Densmore continuing N 157th for pedestrians and bicyclists willing to deal with a dirt path (both maps)
• ADDED: Extension of a Shoreline Trail Along the Rail fragment south of NE 185th all the way down to NE 180th; at previous check, it didn’t quite connect, and now it does (both maps)
• CORRECTION: 10th Ave NE from 155th to 185th was listed as UNMARKED BUT POPULAR, but has sharrow markings, so will be re-marked as SHARROWS (both maps)

All permalinks continue to work.

If you enjoy these maps and feel like throwing some change at the tip jar, here’s my patreon. Patreon supports get things like pre-sliced printables of the Greater Northshore, and also the completely-uncompressed MEGAMAP, not that the .jpg has much compression in it because honestly it doesn’t.

Enjoy biking!

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Holy hell. The Tesla Truck is such a complete fucking sales disaster that he’s getting a corrupt deal with the military to buy them as targets.

I repeat:

THE TESLA TRUCK IS SUCH A COMPLETE FAILURE THAT THEY’RE SELLING THEM TO THE MILITARY AS TARGETS FOR TARGET PRACTICE.

Only a couple at first. Still, no doubt it’ll be at full price or some shit. Gotta claw those losses back somehow, right? Try this, see who complains.

Regardless, “OFFICIAL US MILITARY TARGET” stickers for Teslas, y/y?

Also, I may need to make yet another new sign for the Tesla Takedown protests because holy shit xD

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Hey NORTHSHORE VOTERS!

If you’re in the Northshore School District voting area, please be aware there are two school district elections, and each of those elections includes an anti-trans candidate you need to vote against!

One’s relatively quiet about it but if you get to the bottom of their voter pamphlet statement they talk about keeping “fair competition” and keeping girls and boys separate, and if it’s not obvious to you that that’s anti-trans code language, well, it is.

The second anti-trans candidate in the other election is just straight out with it, and by the way, fags in general are evil and and and and.

Vote against both. There are two other candidates you can choose from, pick the one you prefer.

If you don’t usually bother voting for school boards, THIS IS THE TIME TO START VOTING FOR SCHOOL BOARDS.

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Have you ever noticed that every projection about “AGI” and “superintelligence” has an “and then a miracle occurs” step?

I have.

I shouldn’t say every projection – there are many out there, and I haven’t seen them all. But every one I’ve personally seen has this step. Somewhere, sometime, fairly soon, generative AI will create something that triggers a quantum leap in capability. What will it be? NOTHING MERE HUMANS CAN UNDERSTAND! Oh, sometimes they’ll make up something – a new kind of transistor, a new encoding language (like sure, that’ll do it), whatever. Sometimes they just don’t say. Whatever it is, it happens, and then we’re off to the hyperintelligent AGI post-singularity tiems.

But the thing is … the thing is … for Generative AI to create a Magic Something that Changes Everything – to have this miracle – you have to already have hyperintelligent AGI. Since you don’t… well…

…that’s why it’s a miracle. Whether they realise it or not.

I’m not sure which is worse – that they do realise it, and know they’re bullshitting billions of dollars away from productive society to build up impossible wealth before the climate change they’re helping make worse fucks everything so they can live like feudal kings from their bunkers, or whether they don’t, and are spirit dancing, wanking off technofappic dreams of creating a God who will save the world with its AI magic, a short-term longtermism, burning away the rest of the carbon budget in a Hail Mary that absolutely will not connect.

Both possibilities are equally batshit insane, I know that much. To paraphrase a friend who knows far more about the maths of this than I, all the generative AI “compute” in the universe isn’t going to find fast solutions to PSPACE-HARD problems. It’s just not.

And so, sometimes, sometimes, sometimes, I think of…

…I think of putting a short reading/watching list out there, a list that I hesitate to put together in public, because the “what the actual fuck” energies are so strong – so strong – that I can’t see how anyone could take it seriously. And yet…

…so much of the AI fantasia happening right now is summed by three entirely accessible works.

Every AI-fantasia idea, particularly the ideas most on the batshit side…

…they’re all right here. And it’s all fiction. All of it. Some of it is science-shaped; none of it is science.

But Alice, you know, we’re all mad here. So… why not.

Let’s go.

1: Colossus: The Forbin Project (1970)

This is the “bad end” you see so much in “projections” about AI progression. A new one of these timelines just dropped, they have a whole website you can play with. I’m not linking to it because why would I, holy shit, I don’t need to spread their crazy. But there’s a point in the timeline/story that they have you read – I think it’s in 2027 – when you can make a critical choice. It’s literally a one-selection choose-your-own-path adventure!

The “good” choice takes you to galactic civilisation managed by friendly hyperintelligent AGI.

The “bad” choice is literally the plot of The Forbin Project with an even grimmer ending. No, really. The beats are very much the same. It’s just The Forbin Project with more death.

Well. And a bioweapon. Nukes are so messy, and affect so much more than mere flesh.

2: Blindsight, by Peter Watts (2006)

This rather interesting – if bleak – novel presents a model of cognition which lays out an intriguing thought experiment, even if it … did not sit well with what I freely admit is my severely limited understanding of cognition.

(It is not helped that it directly contradicts known facts about the cognition of self-awareness in various animals, and did so even when it was published. That doesn’t make it a worse thought experiment, however. Or a worse novel.)

It got shortlisted – deservedly – for a bunch of awards. But that’s not why it’s here. It’s here because its model of cognition is functionally the one used by those who think generative AI and LLMs can be hyperintelligent – or even functionally intelligent at all.

And it’s wrong. As a model, it’s just wrong.

Finally, we get to the “what.” entry:

3: Friendship is Optimal, by Iceman (2012)

Friendship is Optimal is obviously the most obscure of these works, but also, I think maybe the most important. It made a big splash in MLP fandom, before landing like an absolute hand grenade in the nascent generative AI community when it broke containment. Maybe not in all of that latter community – but certainly in the parts of which I was aware. So much so, in fact, that it made waves even beyond that – which is when I heard of it, and how I read it.

And yes… it’s My Little Pony fanfic.

Sorta.

It’s that, but really it’s more an explicit AI takeoff story, one which is absolutely about creating a benevolent hyperintelligent Goddess AI construct who can, will, and does remake the world, destroying the old one behind her.

Sound familiar?

These three works include every idea behind every crazy line of thought I’ve seen out of the Silicon Valley AI crowd. These three works right here. A novel or a movie (take your choice, the movie’s quite good, I understand the novel is as well), a second novel, and a frankly remarkable piece of fanfic.

For Musk’s crowd in particular? It’s all about the model presented in Friendship is Optimal, except, you know, totally white supremacist. They’re even kinda following the Hofvarpnir Studios playbook from the story, but with less “licensed property game” and a lot more more “Billionaire corporate fascism means you don’t have to pay employees anymore, you can just take all the money yourself.”

…which is not the kind of sentence I ever thought I’d write, but here we are.

You can see why I’m hesitant to publish this reading list, but I also hope you can see why I want to.

If you read Friendship is Optimal, and then go look at Longtermerism… I think you definitely will.

So what’re we left with, then?

Some parts of this technology are actually useful. Some of it. Much less than supports the valuations, but there’s real use here. If you have 100,000 untagged, undescribed images and AI analysis gives 90% of them reasonable descriptions, that’s a substantial value add. Some of the production tools are good – some of them are very good, or will be, once it stops being obvious that “oh look, you’ve used AI tools on this.” Some of the medical imaging and diagnostic tools show real promise – though it’s always important to keep in mind that antique technologies like “Expert Systems” seemed just as promising, in the lab.

Regardless, there’s real value to be found in those sorts of applications. These tasks are where it can do good. There are many more than I’ve listed, of course.

But AGI? Hyperintelligence? The underlying core of this boom, the one that says you won’t have to employ anyone anymore, just rake in the money and live like kings?

That entire project is either:

A knowing mass fraud inflating a bubble nobody’s seen in a century that instead of breaking a monetary system might well finish off any hopes for a stable climate in an Enron-like insertion of AI-generated noise followed by AI-generated summarisation of that noise that no one reads and serves no purpose and adds no value but costs oh, oh so very much electricity and oh, oh, oh so very much money;

A power play unlike anything since the fall of the western Roman empire, where the Church functionally substituted itself in parallel to and substitute of of the Roman government to the point that the latter finally collapsed, all in service of setting up a God’s Kingdom on Earth to bring back Jesus, only in this case, it’s setting up the techbro billionaires as a new nobility, manipulating the hoi polloi from above with propaganda and disinformation sifted through their “AI” interlocutors;

Or an absolute psychotic break by said billionaires and fellow travellers so utterly unwilling and utterly unable to deal with the realities of climate change that they’ll do anything – anything – to pretend they don’t have to, including burning down the world in the service of somehow provoking a miracle that transcends maths and physics in the hope that some day, some way, before it’s too late, their God AI will emerge and make sure everything ends up better… in the long term.

Maybe, even, it’s a mix of all three.

And here I thought my reading list was the scary part.

Silly me.

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The last couple of posts I’ve made with images didn’t have their alt text make it to the Federation. It made it to Dreamwidth, but didn’t federate.

Let’s try this one:

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My hold at the library came up, so I finally got to read Careless People, Sarah Wynn-Williams’s memoir about her time at Facebook.

You should read it.

No matter how bad you might think Facebook/Meta and its leadership might be, it’s almost certainly worse. Even if you know all of the pieces – all of the events discussed in the book were covered by the press in various forms before her memoir dropped – her presentation really pulls it all together.

Wynn-Williams doesn’t come off real great either herself, mind you. Early on, I found myself reacting with combinations of “…how did you expect this to play out?” and “this is both psychotically abusive and incredibly compromising, you should’ve walked. I literally would’ve walked out right here, and I know, ’cause I’ve done it.” (Tho’ to be fair, there have been a couple of times when I didn’t. But mostly, I have.) The recountings alternated between funny and hard to read, but in a way most people would mostly find funny – I think.

That was before it actually got to any of the worst parts, though, the parts where it went from a combination of entertainingly naive, occasionally pathetic, and often appalling to frankly revolting and rather deeply grim but still compelling as the… honestly, as the evil… crystallised.

But, well.

No matter how badly Wynn-Williams might come across in this memoir, Facebook comes off much, much worse.

So much worse.

So you should read it. No one other than Meta have contested the contents. Even they refer to the contents as “out of date” and “previously reported,” which worlds away from “lies” – although they do insist some of her accusations of behaviour by upper-level executives are “false.”

That’s probably about the sexual harassment, but I think we all know better.

More, Zuckerberg tried very hard to silence her and stop the book’s publication. He did manage to stop her – via binding arbitration – from promoting her work. That includes stating “orally, in writing, or otherwise any disparaging, critical or otherwise detrimental comments to any person or entity concerning [Meta], its officers, directors, or employees.”

The book came out anyway, because the publisher was in the UK, and said they didn’t care what an American arbitrator had to say.

And that’s one of the reasons you should read it.

Because if you think there is anything redeemable within Meta… based on the uncontested facts of this book… you are wrong.

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So I’m redoing the text on the Seattle 2023 bike map, because I figured out that while in digital form on a phone or something it’s okay, printed, it’s REALLY not.

And since the printed poster is the biggest single part of the point of this whole exercise, if I want this actually usable on streets people don’t already know… I have to fix it.

And fixing it means new text everywhere important, and often that means having to block out existing text.

The problem with this is that this sometimes means covering up streets. Not important ones, but streets nonetheless, where the old labels crossed that road and still need to be removed.

Let’s take Mary NW here:

The original small label text for Mary NW crossed a road, probably… 95th street? Honestly not sure. It’s not labelled, so I’m not adding a label of my own.

To remove the old Mary Ave NW label, though, I had to block over it with the background colour. That removed part of a street line.

Now, sure, I could draw another line there and replace it. I’ve done that before and will do again if I have to. But that’s an extra step that I might be able to avoid, right? What if instead of labelling the road “Mary Ave NW,” I just labelled it “Mary NW” instead, and make sure the first vertical of the capital N lies where the street line should be?

There’s no Mary Street so there won’t be ambiguity, so why not?

N 90th Street lower and to the right is doing the same thing. So is NW 90th to the left, but it’s the leftmost diagonal bar of the W.

This isn’t a big flashy trick. If I do it right, nobody will ever notice that I did it. That’s the goal, really. It’s not something anyone should see.

But it is a good example of the delicate art of text placement. Particularly on a map.

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Once upon a time, I was friends with a guy named Jim. A very, very few of you might know him. Almost all of you won’t.

I walked away some years ago, blocked him on the socials over his support for the fascist, because I said that the fascist’s promises absolutely, positively, literally required American concentration camps, and that’s what he was supporting by supporting the fascist, and I could not abide that…

…and yet, he carried on, saying I was a fool, and that none of it would ever happen.

(I asked him then why did he support someone he insisted was lying to him. I do not remember getting an answer, before I quit.)

So now that we have American concentration camps…

…and now that people with direct access to the fascist are talking about sending literally every American citizen of Latino heritage there to die…

(it will require more concentration camps than that, of course, but that’s a detail which makes no difference)

I wonder…

…has he yet been moved to repentance?

Or is he still a good and solid member of that wretched cult?

It’s immaterial now, of course. We are long past the point where the pebbles’ opinions matter, and crimes already done cannot be undone.

But once in a while, I think of it.

And for a moment – a pointless, irrelevant moment – I still wonder.

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“Our expectations for you were low, but holy shit“:

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A couple of lefty people I know are pre-emptively being bitter and anticipating defeat in the New York City Mayoral election, expecting “vote blue no matter who” suddenly not to apply.

I’ll be fair and admit they have reason, but pre-surrendering is not how to win fucking anything ever.

Now, some may note – fairly enough – that “vote blue no matter who” is fundamentally about how legislative bodies are organised and deciding who has the power to set the agenda for bills and legislative voting. They’ll note that it’s not actually about every individual race, but instead is about deciding what gets moved forward in a legislature.

But while true, “vote blue no matter who” still matters this time, even though it’s a mayoral race, and even though this time it’s someone to the left of people who usually say that, rather than about someone to the right of people who usually hear it. And that is because it’s about the Overton window.

Here’s one way you might pitch it to your “centrist,” or “establishment,” or “conservative-leaning” Democratic friends who might otherwise vote Cuomo as an independent, or just sit this this one out:

“Okay, yeah, I know, you don’t like the word ‘socialist,’ and so you’ve already decided you don’t like Mamdani. You’re afraid of him winning, you’re afraid of how the mythical “centrist Republican” won’t come over if Democrats somewhere back a leftist.

“Thing is, that’s bullshit. I’m sorry, but it’s a lie. It just is. They do not care. We had a literal fascist insurrectionist running last election, and a Democratic campaign that spent half its time with dissident Republicans trying to get those so-called centrist Republicans to acknowledge reality and switch over. Did it work? Not one whit. These voters don’t exist, so stop trying.

“But even that’s not the real point.

“This isn’t about Mamdani. Not him in particular. I mean, even as mayor of NYC, he can’t do that much by himself. I think he’ll do some real good. It won’t be enough for me, but it’s a start. But for you, now… for you…

“For you, this election is about moving the Overton window back towards yourself.

“You may not have noticed, but right now, the Overton window is so far to the right that Elon Musk could do and did throw a literal Hitler-identical Nazi salute during the Presidential inauguration and still be welcomed into government. That’s insane. And fatal for a representative democracy.

“But we can push that window back to where you want it to be, and we do that by pushing to the left as hard as we can. Even if you don’t want to go there, even if you don’t want to go where I do, even if you’re ‘not comfortable’ with someone who calls himself a ‘socialist.’

“By electing him, we can make that position viable. Not dominant, not in charge, but viable. And doing _that_ pushes the middle of the window back to where you actually are. It makes you the middle position again.

“Right now, everyone not a fascist – which includes you – is ‘radical left.’ Rule of law? Radical left. Science? Radical left. Due process? Radical left. Social security and medicare? Radical left. Woman not the property of a man? Queer? Radical left. Which is, again, insane, but that is where we are right now.

“But if we start electing some real leftists, then suddenly, that window swings away from the right. You’ll be part of the Sane and Normal Centre again.

“In short: like always, this is strategy. Vote for him as ‘vote blue no matter who’ so that you won’t be the ‘radical left’ anymore, and so you can have an actual choice who you vote for again in the future.

“And that’s why, this time, it’s you who need to ‘vote blue, no matter who.'”

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