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[personal profile] solarbird
Everything is catching, yes, everything is catching on fiiiiiiiiiire!

Okay so this bailout - this blank cheque - that the Fed wants to back Fannie Mae and Freddy Mac is worth between US$500B and US$1.6T, and probably closer to the top end, but who knows for sure? Nobody! Certainly not Congress, which probably makes it more, not less, likely that they'll sign that cheque and send it off right away.

This is happening because China and a bunch of other Important People Countries Entities own Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac bonds (worth US$12T or so, I think) in truly large quantities. When the bond and forex markets figure out exactly how big a hook this is for US debt - and it's not gonna take very long, the overnighters figured it out already, it's the US equity people who are without clue as yet - the shitsplosion is going to be truly epic. Today, tho', people are piling into bonds.

Oh, meanwhile, all the mortgage rules changed back to old school this morning, so loans just got a lot harder to get (good) all at once (not as good, but what can you do?) and omg late (barn doors, horses got out, temporal inversion, all that) and residential property just got marked to reality a lot cheaper as of about an hour ago, particularly in whatever was left of the boom states. Here's the story! @wheeeeeeeeeee! To quote one of the regulars on one of the financial forums I read, "Nothing screams 'solid fundamentals' like emergency bailout proposals. My confidence is maximized."

Fed bans risky mortgage practices
By Ruth Mantell
Last update: 10:57 a.m. EDT July 14, 2008

Marketwatch

WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) -- As the economy continues to suffer from the housing downturn and fallout from risky mortgages, the Federal Reserve Board on Monday voted unanimously to bar lenders from making higher-priced mortgages without regard to a consumers' ability to repay. Regarding higher-priced loans, the Fed's new rules also prohibit lenders from: relying on income or assets that it does not verify to determine repayment ability; imposing prepayment penalties if the payment can change during the initial four years; and making a loan without establishing an escrow account for property taxes and homeowners' insurance for first-lien loans.

Date: 2008-07-14 03:51 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] king-chiron.livejournal.com
"Private profits, public losses" is definitely the phrase of the year.

Date: 2008-07-14 03:53 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] brazilrascal.livejournal.com
Gah! Two freaking minutes. :(

Date: 2008-07-14 03:53 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] brazilrascal.livejournal.com
I see that the privatization of profit and socialization of losses is going on strong in the US. You guys will be catching up to Brazil in no time!

Date: 2008-07-14 06:32 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] westrider.livejournal.com
Were you looking for this^ ? ;)

Date: 2008-07-15 03:24 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] king-chiron.livejournal.com
It's one of those messy situations where the benefits go to a small number of individuals who are highly motivated to make sure they continue, but the costs are spread out among a lot of people and so it's hard to get them to take action.

Date: 2008-07-14 05:59 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] hubbit.livejournal.com
Granddad, Tell How Capitalism Committed Suicide: Mark Gilbert (http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601039&sid=a11PeBn6TV8A&refer=columnist_gilbert) - a scathing indictment from, of all the odd places, Bloomberg News.

("Capitalism sowed the seeds of its own demise because the benefits of a decade-long boom accrued to capital, with nothing flowing to labor. Telling workers who hadn't had a decent pay raise for years to tighten their belts once the good times ended proved disastrous." is one of many gemlike observations...)

BTW, you're entirely too contagiously hyper over this impending meltdown. So am I, actually. I hope the fuckwits who invented the credit score (and the concept of extorting monetarily penalizing low scorers by jacking up their rates) live to get burned with their own invention, when the collapse comes...

Date: 2008-07-15 01:41 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] mhaolain.livejournal.com
Wow, welcome to crazy time. The "yeee-haw" made me chuckle to myself. I mean, it's funny not because it is, but because it's so absurd. The elites are making off like bandits while everyone else is screaming to be let out of third class before the music picks up.

- Paul

Date: 2008-07-15 03:06 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] poodlgrl.livejournal.com
"making a loan without establishing an escrow account for property taxes and homeowners' insurance for first-lien loans."
WTF?? I didn't even know *this* was possible!

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