Jan. 9th, 2021

solarbird: (sb-worldcon-cascadia)
I've spoken before about how I write for twitter, that I prefer not to write in advance, but do it all live. But that once in a while - though I dislike it - I'll write in advance.

This is one I wrote in advance, in textedit, about ten days ago...

...and didn't post.

It was a conscious decision. I had reasons. Good ones. Maybe it's still better I didn't post it. But at the same time, holy fuck I'm thinking maybe I should've, just to have it up when everything that went down on Wednesday went down.

Because holy fuck, did it turn out to be relevant.

Enjoy what I did not post to Twitter, the week before the insurrection.



Lately, I'm seeing variations of, "If you're willing to talk secession, fuck you. You just told me you don't give a damn about all the PoC, queers, women who will be brutalised by the secessionists' fascist regime."

To be clear: I agree.

To a point.

Walk with me, I'll explain.



Being two of the three, I do give fucks about those people. It's why I'm not a Cascadian secessionist, despite being _done_ with all elections being existential.

But they're right. We all know what happens under fascists. So I'm a Unionist.

I just wish that were the end of it.



You see, if enough people decide that if they don't get their way then nobody gets _anything_, then the choice stops being "one country" vs. "two countries."

The choice becomes "two countries, or no country."



It's a direct evolution of Republican politics over the last 25+ years. McConnell is pledging that if he has the Senate, nothing passes. The Hastert Rule, forever. Our Government, or No Government.

Our Government or No Government very easily becomes Our Country or No Country.



If enough people are determined to, they can bring everything down. They can change the question from "one country or two countries" to "two countries or _no_ country."

We're uncomfortably close to that now. We're not there. I don't think we're going to get there.

But we could.



For some, "no country" is the plan. It's about seizing power through force in the wreckage. Military takeover, militia force, whatever. No country, then their fascism. At least, in the areas they care about.

The model doesn't have to be Yemen. It would probably be Yugoslavia.



Some areas of relative peace early on, democratic, their little newly-soverign country more safe than others. Slovenia.

Some areas of intense militarism, authoritarian, fascist-thinking, fighting the war until the end. Serbia.

And the poor SOBs in the middle zone.

Bosnia.



Again, we _aren't there yet_. But we could get there.

The Trumpists - the fundamentalists, the fascists on 8kun, 4chan, QAnon, etc - are there now, claiming the bomber and the bowling alley shooter as their own, planning mass protests and specifically violence in DC on the 6th.



If they attain a certain critical mass, they'll succeed in changing the question. Not one country or two countries: two (or more) countries, or _no_ country.

It wouldn't even have to be violent, though they prefer to be, and arguably, that's their fatal flaw.



They'd simply have to refuse to allow governance, except by their own side.

Their country, or _no_ country.

Kinda like now. Just turned up.

And if they pulled that off... I'm pretty sure I'd pick two countries, over _none_.



So as I said at the top, I'm not saying that take is wrong. It's not wrong. It's right. I support it.

As long as the question doesn't change.

The fascists are working very hard to change it. I'm working very hard to stop them.

If you aren't - you should be.
solarbird: (Default)

nnnNNGNGH I shouldn't be doing this so late but I keep not doing it so

OKAY. You know what's happening with Pence and the 25th Amendment, right?

Let's go over it real quick.

-----

He keeps (reportedly) going back and forth on yanking Trump via the 25th Amendment.

Really, he _really_ doesn't want to. He's already facing the base's wrath. This would push them even further over the top and so honestly I kinda get it. Shit's gonna be even scarier for him.

-----

But he knows he should. And the Democrats know he should. And this whole impeachment timetable, sure, some of it is legit rules issues.

But some of it is also trying to force him to go ahead and do it. Pull him out via the 25th Amendment - or we'll impeach. Again.

-----

Difference is: this time, the Senate will convict. I'm pretty sure. I think they're pretty sure too. Not sure about removal, definite on the "no more runs for president" part.

The fact that _this_ is happening is the _only_ reason Pence is still thinking about the 25th. As things fall apart, remember how we got here.

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If the possibility of imminent impeachment goes away, so will ANY talk of the 25th Amendment solution. The Senate GOP do _not_ want to have to take that vote. Not again, not with what's happened.

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It's either political suicide (defend the seditionist fascist) or political suicide _and_ personal danger (convict/disallow future runs for office).

That's the beast they've created.

That's not what it should be about, but it is.

-----

They have to make this choice, and of them, _for them_, the 25th Amendment is the _least_ personally damaging. They need to talk Pence and the remaining cabinet into removing Trump that way, to avoid the fallout from the trial.

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And that's the _politics_ reason why the Democrats need to be charging full-steam ahead on impeachment, and why _we_ need to be hammering the Democrats constantly not to let up.

I mean _constantly_. Hi, @RepDelBene - impeachment. NOW.

-----

Because I've seen too much of this crowd working for too long. If they can scuttle their way out of definite action? Most of them will.

This is one of those rare moments when nonstop bombardment - tweets, phone calls, email, whatever - can matter.

Do. Not. Let. Up.

-----

Because Tr*mp cannot be allowed to finish his term. He's got to go. 25th amendment or impeachment - or at least impairment against running again - these HAVE. TO. HAPPEN.

-----

Because either way, we've got a fascist insurgency now. The question is whether their orangefarbener Anführer is involved in 2024, and whether we get to do all this - all _this_ - again.

On top of everything else.

We can't have that.

Impeach. Remove. Now.

June 2025

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